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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+4.19vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.92+4.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.69vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+1.76vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+0.02vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.21+2.43vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51-2.10vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.88vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86-2.42vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.04+0.62vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-4.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.48-6.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.76Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.02Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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4.9Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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10.62University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.12Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Haley Powell | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 8.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Erica Lush | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 22.9% | 13.8% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Ann Sager | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 61.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 4.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.