← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.79+1.96vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.32+4.79vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.47+3.38vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+1.58vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.08+5.94vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii2.38-2.07vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine-0.66+5.95vs Predicted
-
8California State University Channel Islands0.42+1.63vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.66-0.04vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University0.59-0.73vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University0.17-0.53vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-2.17vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.56vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.07-0.21vs Predicted
-
15California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-9.38vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96Stanford University2.790.3%1st Place
-
6.79University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
-
6.38University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
-
5.58University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
-
10.94Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
-
3.93University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
-
12.95University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
-
9.63California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
-
8.96University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
-
9.27Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
10.47San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
-
9.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
-
9.44University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
13.79University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
-
5.62California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
-
9.46University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 30.0% | 21.3% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Luke Harris | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 7.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.9% |
| Erik Anderson | 17.8% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 19.9% | 29.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Will Cornell | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
| Max Case | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 19.6% | 40.6% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.