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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+1.96vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+3.50vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+3.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.66+5.04vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.38-1.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.48vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.47-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-2.65vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.42+0.67vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.17+0.55vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.08-0.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.35-2.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.66-0.12vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-4.33vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.59-5.74vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.07-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Stanford University2.790.3%1st Place
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5.5California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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3.93University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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6.36University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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9.67California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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10.55San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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10.72Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.0%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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9.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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9.26Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.89University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 27.8% | 23.6% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Will Cornell | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 16.9% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Luke Harris | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 7.1% |
| Andrew Ring | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 21.3% | 25.4% |
| Max Case | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 19.9% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.