← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.47+5.21vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+3.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington1.32+3.78vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles0.52+5.49vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.58vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.79-2.92vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.66+2.02vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University0.59+1.03vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.35+0.93vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-0.22vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands0.42-1.33vs Predicted
-
12University of Hawaii2.38-8.08vs Predicted
-
13San Diego State University0.17-2.50vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University0.08-3.33vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-1.07-1.13vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-0.66-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.21University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
-
5.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
-
6.78University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
-
9.49University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
5.58California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
-
3.08Stanford University2.790.3%1st Place
-
9.02University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
-
9.03Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
9.93University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.0%1st Place
-
9.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
-
9.67California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
-
3.92University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
-
10.5San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
-
10.67Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
-
13.87University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
-
13.02University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reade Decker | 27.4% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Ring | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Max Case | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Erik Anderson | 19.4% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 6.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 17.4% | 46.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 23.2% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.