← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+4.21vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.38+1.78vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.81-0.09vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+1.29vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington1.32+1.52vs Predicted
-
6California State University Channel Islands0.42+3.35vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California1.47-0.83vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.66+0.39vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-2.07+5.85vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University0.59-1.17vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz0.35-1.51vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University0.17-1.98vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-1.07+0.25vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-0.66-1.77vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-5.62vs Predicted
-
16Western Washington University0.08-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.21California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
-
3.78University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
-
2.91Stanford University2.810.3%1st Place
-
5.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
-
6.52University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
-
9.35California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
-
6.17University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
-
8.39University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
-
14.85University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
-
8.83Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
9.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.0%1st Place
-
10.02San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
-
13.25University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
-
12.23University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
-
9.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
-
10.35Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 19.4% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Young | 27.8% | 22.1% | 19.3% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Luke Harris | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Teresa Dang | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 15.7% | 64.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Ring | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 31.0% | 18.7% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 9.8% |
| Max Case | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Gerber | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.