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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+3.99vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.09vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-0.01+3.88vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.53-1.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.20+0.29vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.64-1.83vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.43-2.25vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.92vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.80+0.77vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-4.74vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.67vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.84-4.16vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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2.75Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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2.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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5.13California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.9University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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7.17Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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9.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.77San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
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12.33University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.84California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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13.95University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 10.9% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 29.1% | 25.9% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 25.3% | 22.4% | 20.9% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Trey Summers | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Juan Casal | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 18.8% | 28.4% | 23.6% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 21.7% | 28.4% | 13.5% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 12.9% | 3.0% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 19.1% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.