Race 25A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Natalie Salk 11.6% 11.0% 10.9% 12.0% 10.3% 11.4% 8.6% 8.2% 7.4% 5.4% 3.0% 0.2%
Emily Dellenbaugh 11.5% 12.9% 12.2% 9.1% 10.8% 9.7% 9.4% 8.4% 7.4% 4.9% 3.2% 0.5%
Stephanie Hudson 13.7% 10.4% 12.8% 10.1% 10.6% 10.3% 9.1% 9.9% 6.5% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Claire Dennis 11.2% 13.9% 11.0% 12.1% 10.5% 9.2% 9.0% 7.3% 7.9% 5.6% 1.5% 0.8%
Chandler Salisbury 9.2% 10.3% 9.7% 10.0% 10.6% 8.3% 10.5% 7.7% 9.2% 7.5% 5.3% 1.7%
Hanna Vincent 12.7% 11.0% 10.0% 11.1% 10.3% 10.8% 9.9% 7.8% 5.8% 6.3% 3.9% 0.4%
Lauren Cefali 5.1% 5.3% 5.5% 5.5% 7.1% 7.0% 8.3% 7.4% 10.8% 14.6% 16.1% 7.3%
Haley Powell 8.1% 7.6% 8.3% 8.1% 7.1% 8.7% 9.4% 9.9% 9.8% 11.8% 7.4% 3.8%
Morgan Russom 5.8% 6.2% 8.6% 8.4% 7.3% 9.4% 8.0% 11.6% 11.1% 10.2% 10.4% 3.0%
Alexandra Arntsen 6.9% 7.3% 7.2% 7.9% 7.8% 7.1% 10.3% 10.6% 11.9% 9.2% 10.1% 3.7%
Erica Lush 3.4% 2.3% 3.1% 4.5% 5.9% 5.8% 5.6% 8.2% 9.7% 13.8% 22.8% 14.9%
Ann Sager 0.8% 1.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 1.9% 3.0% 2.5% 6.7% 14.2% 63.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.