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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+1.45vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.16+1.02vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.49+0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.05-0.76vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.12-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45University of Wisconsin0.7030.4%1st Place
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3.02Northwestern University0.1618.8%1st Place
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3.13Purdue University-0.4916.8%1st Place
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3.24University of Michigan0.0516.6%1st Place
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3.16Marquette University-0.1217.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 30.4% | 25.6% | 21.4% | 14.0% | 8.5% |
| Grace Bray | 18.8% | 20.1% | 20.9% | 21.3% | 18.9% |
| Nok In Chan | 16.8% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 22.6% | 21.6% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 16.6% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 26.7% |
| Jenna Kozal | 17.5% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 20.9% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.