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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.20+7.20vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+3.02vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55-0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.48+1.05vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.64+2.22vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.53-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.43-1.31vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.01-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.61vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.80-1.12vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.00vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.84-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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5.02California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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2.85Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.05University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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7.22Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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4.9University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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2.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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9.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.39University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.88San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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14.0University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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10.84California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilton Lawton | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Clay Myers | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 27.6% | 22.7% | 18.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Trey Summers | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 27.0% | 23.3% | 18.8% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Adam Leddy | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 23.9% | 25.5% | 13.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 19.0% | 30.7% | 22.7% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 21.0% | 58.5% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 12.2% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.