← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.48+4.12vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+7.17vs Predicted
-
3Arizona State University0.64+4.25vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.55-1.05vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.43+3.05vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii1.53-1.00vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.00vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.20+0.61vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-4.83vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-2.60vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-0.01-2.73vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-0.84-1.50vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.34vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.77vs Predicted
-
16San Diego State University-0.19-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.12University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
-
9.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.25Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
-
2.95Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
-
8.05University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
-
5.0University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
-
3.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
-
8.61University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
-
5.17California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
-
8.4University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
-
9.27University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
-
11.5California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
-
12.66University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
-
14.23University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
-
9.63San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| Juan Casal | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 26.1% | 24.1% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Trey Summers | 10.6% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 25.2% | 23.5% | 18.3% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Clay Myers | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Adam Leddy | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 22.6% | 20.6% | 6.2% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 37.3% | 18.7% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 15.5% | 69.7% |
| Owen Gormely | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.