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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.48+3.06vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.43+4.86vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+5.32vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.64+2.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-3.04vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.53-2.02vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-2.73vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-0.84+2.30vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.20-2.31vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-3.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.01-3.57vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.32vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.19-5.36vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.06University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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9.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.38Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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2.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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4.98University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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5.27California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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11.3California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.68University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.64San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 28.1% | 24.5% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Juan Casal | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 24.7% | 24.0% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 11.1% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 21.7% | 19.0% | 5.9% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Adam Leddy | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 0.5% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 14.3% | 36.7% | 19.6% |
| Owen Gormely | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 15.5% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.