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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+1.81vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.48+2.67vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.90vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55-1.24vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.78vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.64+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.20+0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.03-2.15vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.19+0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.43-2.48vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.01-3.42vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-0.84-2.48vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.39vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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4.67University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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4.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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2.76Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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8.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.98Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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9.02San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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8.58University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.52California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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11.61University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.25University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 28.2% | 25.2% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 28.9% | 24.2% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Juan Casal | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Everett McAvoy | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 1.8% |
| Maxwell Miller | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Adam Leddy | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 20.6% | 6.7% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 36.9% | 17.1% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 15.1% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.