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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.20+6.90vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.48+0.80vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands-0.84+5.53vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.43+0.21vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.19+0.93vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.03-4.05vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.01-2.35vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.64-5.05vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-4.27vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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2.68Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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2.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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4.8University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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10.53California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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5.02California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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8.93San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.95Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.63University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.25University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilton Lawton | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 28.3% | 26.8% | 20.0% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 29.8% | 23.9% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.9% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 22.8% | 5.8% |
| Clay Myers | 8.7% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Owen Gormely | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Everett McAvoy | 6.8% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Leddy | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Juan Casal | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 35.4% | 16.8% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 6.4% | 13.2% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.