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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+1.91vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.93vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.64+4.36vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.72+3.16vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.48+0.26vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.20+1.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.12+0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.53-3.89vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.64vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.01-2.69vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-0.84-1.74vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.70vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.19-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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2.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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7.36Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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5.26University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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5.38California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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5.11University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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9.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.26California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.3University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.56San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 27.7% | 24.8% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 27.4% | 21.5% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Oliver Nairn | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Sanchita Pant | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Trey Summers | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 6.2% |
| Adam Leddy | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 5.1% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 21.5% | 24.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 18.1% | 49.9% |
| Owen Gormely | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.