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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.48+3.04vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.64+4.37vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.53+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-1.90vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.72+1.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.01+1.93vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+1.24vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-0.84+1.27vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-5.65vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.12-3.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.20-4.38vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.68vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.19-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.04University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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7.37Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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3.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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7.29University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.27California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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5.35California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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8.95University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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12.32University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.51San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 29.3% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Juan Casal | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Trey Summers | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 23.9% | 23.3% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Adam Leddy | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 23.0% | 23.2% |
| Clay Myers | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 51.2% |
| Owen Gormely | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.