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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+4.48vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+1.02vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.12+5.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.20+4.10vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+2.88vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.53-2.76vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.64-1.20vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.72-2.49vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.48-5.55vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-3.15vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-0.84-0.87vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.01-4.11vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.19-4.80vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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3.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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2.98Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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9.1University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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9.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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7.8Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
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12.13California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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9.89University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.2San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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13.1University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 26.5% | 23.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 25.7% | 23.6% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 4.4% |
| Trey Summers | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Nairn | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 23.5% | 22.7% |
| Adam Leddy | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.1% |
| Owen Gormely | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 6.3% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.