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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine-0.01+7.59vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.53+2.17vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.54vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+4.86vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.48-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+1.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.20+1.14vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.72-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-6.85vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.12-1.57vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.84+0.16vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.64-4.99vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.19-4.76vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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9.59University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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5.54California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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9.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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3.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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12.16California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.01Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.24San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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13.13University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 28.2% | 21.9% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 3.8% |
| Trey Summers | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.4% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 23.3% | 24.4% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 24.3% | 23.0% |
| Juan Casal | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Owen Gormely | 1.6% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 6.5% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.