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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+4.84vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.13vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+2.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+1.01vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51-0.01vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+0.63vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86-1.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.40vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21-2.62vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.04-1.24vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.81-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.16Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.01Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.99Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.95Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.38Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.76University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 11.7% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Haley Powell | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 3.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 6.9% |
| Erica Lush | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 13.6% |
| Ann Sager | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 12.5% | 64.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.