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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+4.01vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.62vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.53+1.72vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.72+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.20+2.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+1.45vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.48-3.12vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.64-1.57vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.44vs Predicted
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11Stanford University0.55-3.21vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.01-2.59vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.19-2.79vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.84-2.09vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.89vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.12-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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2.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.4%1st Place
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4.72University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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7.43Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.79Stanford University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.21San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.91California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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13.11University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 11.1% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 35.1% | 22.4% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 11.9% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Shay Wood | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Adam Leddy | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 4.5% |
| Owen Gormely | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 21.4% | 23.5% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 48.5% |
| Sanchita Pant | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.