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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+4.10vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.48vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+2.41vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+1.86vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+3.79vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.53+2.53vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.49+1.61vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.10-1.65vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.69+2.65vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.59vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32+1.97vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.12-1.72vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.43-0.60vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.62+0.69vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-6.26vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.36vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.87-2.63vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-10.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.48Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.41Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.53Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.35Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.65Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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12.97University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.4Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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14.69Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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14.64Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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14.37Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 28.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 25.1% |
| Peter Schnell | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 22.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.