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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.59vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+4.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.49+5.83vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.53+4.36vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+0.30vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-1.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+1.77vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.43+0.76vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.21vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.69+1.84vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.43+1.60vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.12-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32-0.30vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.35vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-9.11vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.62-0.99vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.87-2.66vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-9.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.83Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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5.3Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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4.97Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.84Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.6Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.7University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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14.35Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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15.01Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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14.34Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 7.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 19.0% | 22.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 31.4% |
| Peter Schnell | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 21.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.