← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.54+3.92vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.23+3.89vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.43+5.78vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.49+4.15vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.10+1.11vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+6.20vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.69+4.27vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.40-2.87vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.12+0.62vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.43-4.70vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.45-2.39vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.32+0.84vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.53-4.93vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.62+0.51vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-6.09vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College1.43-3.64vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.55vs Predicted
-
18Olin College of Engineering0.87-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.92Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
5.89University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.78Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
-
8.15Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
-
6.11Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
12.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
-
11.27Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.13Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
9.62Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
5.3Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.61Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
12.84University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
8.07Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
-
14.51Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
8.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
-
12.36Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
-
14.45Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
-
13.89Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.4% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.2% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 25.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 25.1% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.