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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+3.93vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+3.21vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+2.28vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.49+4.21vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.12+4.67vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.53+2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-1.27vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.43+0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.32+3.59vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.45-1.30vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.91vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.43+0.50vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.10-6.94vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.62+0.49vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.69-3.77vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-3.72vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.56vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.87-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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5.21Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.28Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.21Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.67Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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12.59University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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12.5Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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6.06Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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14.49Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.23Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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14.44Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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13.85Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.5% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Maks Groom | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 8.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 26.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Jack Derry | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 25.2% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.