← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.40+4.42vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.54+2.83vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.43+2.16vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+7.94vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.49+3.21vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.23-0.25vs Predicted
-
7Olin College of Engineering0.87+6.92vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.83vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.45-0.58vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.18+3.26vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.43-2.33vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University3.10-5.57vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy0.77+1.14vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.69-3.06vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.32-2.48vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.12-6.22vs Predicted
-
17Boston College2.53-8.71vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University0.62-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.42Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
4.83Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
5.16Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
11.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
-
8.21Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.75University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
13.92Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
-
8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.42Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
-
13.26Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
-
8.67Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.43Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
14.14Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
-
10.94Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
12.52University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
9.78Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.29Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
-
14.5Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.7% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.8% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 17.9% |
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 22.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.