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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+4.33vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.49+6.49vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+5.60vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+1.65vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54-0.30vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.12+3.72vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-1.94vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.32+4.41vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.10-2.99vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.43-1.33vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.53-2.80vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-2.79vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62+1.48vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-2.09vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.87-1.00vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.69-4.69vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.59vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.18-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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4.7Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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9.72Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.06Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.41University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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14.48Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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14.0Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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11.31Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.41Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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12.85Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 16.6% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Maks Groom | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 27.8% |
| Jack Derry | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 18.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 23.5% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.