← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.82+5.05vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.74+1.68vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.97+2.59vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.25vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.53+1.76vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.93-0.31vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.09+0.79vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.18-3.06vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.30-1.72vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.11vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.74-4.64vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire0.76-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.05Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
-
3.68Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
-
5.59Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
6.76Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
-
5.69University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.79Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
-
4.94Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
7.28Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
5.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.36Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
-
10.72University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 20.6% | 20.1% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 5.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 5.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 10.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 5.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.