← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.29+4.04vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.10+7.09vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.64+1.06vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.38+3.80vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.33-0.24vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.72+0.73vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.23+1.44vs Predicted
-
8Olin College of Engineering0.52+6.12vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.45-1.49vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+3.54vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.37+0.64vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.67-4.91vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-5.16vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.27-2.38vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.73-1.36vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.60-5.15vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University1.31-5.19vs Predicted
-
18Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.04Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.09University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
4.06Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
-
7.8Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
4.76Brown University3.330.2%1st Place
-
6.73Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.44Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
14.12Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
-
7.51Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
13.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.810.0%1st Place
-
11.64Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
7.09Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
11.62University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
13.64Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
-
10.85Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
11.81Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
15.41Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.8% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| James Jagielski | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 20.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julian Henderson | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 12.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 13.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.