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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.33+3.78vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+8.23vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.72+3.67vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77+2.19vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-1.23vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.67+0.61vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+4.51vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.45-0.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+1.50vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.60+0.76vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.38-3.23vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.37-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.27-1.47vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-6.10vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.73-1.66vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.10-7.34vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.82-0.24vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.06-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.19Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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3.77Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.61Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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11.51Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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10.76Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.64Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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13.34Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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16.76Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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15.01Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 14.7% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 22.7% | 19.9% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 5.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 15.9% | 64.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 30.3% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.