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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.33+3.78vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+1.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+5.38vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77+2.20vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.72+1.45vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.27+5.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+0.66vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+2.00vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.45-1.66vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.60+0.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-0.35vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-3.10vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.73+0.26vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-2.94vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-3.49vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.67-9.30vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.82-0.25vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.06-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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3.85Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.2Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.45Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.74Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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13.26Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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11.06Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.51Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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6.7Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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16.75Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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15.04Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.2% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 7.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 1.5% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 15.4% | 64.0% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 30.8% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.