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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.30+6.53vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+3.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+2.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09+4.01vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+1.00vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-2.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.07vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-2.98vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.93-4.39vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53-4.05vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.76-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.03Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.58Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.01Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.0Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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3.61Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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5.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.02Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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10.7University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Levinson | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 8.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 10.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 10.4% |
| Sky Adams | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 22.5% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 5.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 4.5% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.