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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marlena Fauer 21.5% 18.1% 15.0% 12.3% 10.3% 8.3% 5.6% 3.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Kimberly Kaull 8.0% 10.3% 10.5% 10.7% 10.3% 9.4% 10.4% 8.3% 8.7% 9.1% 3.5% 0.8%
Kate Levinson 6.1% 4.8% 4.7% 6.6% 6.4% 7.7% 7.5% 9.8% 10.8% 12.4% 16.3% 6.9%
Rachel Perry 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 6.3% 6.1% 6.4% 8.7% 9.9% 10.0% 12.5% 16.9% 11.5%
Carolyn Naughton 9.3% 11.6% 10.2% 9.5% 10.4% 9.4% 8.9% 9.4% 8.4% 6.8% 4.3% 1.8%
Elizabeth Glivinski 8.3% 8.2% 8.3% 8.1% 8.9% 10.4% 9.0% 10.9% 9.2% 8.7% 7.6% 2.4%
Devon Rohde 6.1% 6.2% 6.6% 6.6% 7.7% 8.2% 9.3% 8.6% 8.9% 13.0% 13.5% 5.3%
Sky Adams 9.9% 9.8% 8.8% 8.6% 9.8% 9.2% 10.1% 8.7% 8.2% 8.4% 6.1% 2.4%
Chloe Lepert 7.3% 9.3% 10.6% 11.0% 10.4% 9.5% 9.0% 9.6% 9.4% 6.9% 5.2% 1.8%
Paige Fagan 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 5.2% 7.0% 12.0% 61.6%
Caitlin Watson 6.2% 6.2% 6.4% 7.3% 6.8% 9.5% 9.6% 11.5% 10.7% 9.5% 11.4% 4.9%
Kelsey Wheeler 12.8% 10.1% 13.0% 11.3% 10.8% 10.1% 9.8% 7.7% 6.9% 4.2% 2.8% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.