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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.93+3.67vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+4.49vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09+3.97vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.97+0.59vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74+0.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.08vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82-3.11vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.17vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.76-0.41vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-5.07vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.67University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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5.59Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.21Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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10.59University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.03Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 21.5% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 6.9% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 11.5% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 5.3% |
| Sky Adams | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 61.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 4.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 12.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.