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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+3.94vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+3.07vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+3.03vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+5.96vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46+1.21vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.49+3.44vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.90vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.07-0.55vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-1.52vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.71vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-3.49vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.44-2.18vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.46vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-2.87vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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5.07Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.21Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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7.48Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.82Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.4% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 9.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 5.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 6.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 20.3% | 17.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.