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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+3.96vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+5.41vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.07+4.40vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.46+2.08vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.35vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47+0.11vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75-1.80vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06-0.50vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.30+0.93vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.66vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.92+0.18vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-5.61vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.49-3.40vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.44-4.51vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.41Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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6.08Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.2Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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11.18Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.6Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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9.49Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.7% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.5% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 6.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 19.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 15.8% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.