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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.07+6.34vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+2.89vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+4.42vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+2.12vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.37vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75-0.78vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.44+2.49vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-0.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.91vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30+0.06vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.46-4.80vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.49-2.38vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.51vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-2.91vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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4.89Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.12Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.22Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.49Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.59Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.2Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.62Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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11.09Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.8% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 8.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 5.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 20.1% | 17.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 15.8% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.