Race 6A

women-new-england-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brooke Schmelz 6.8% 6.5% 8.3% 9.4% 7.4% 7.1% 8.8% 8.2% 8.2% 6.9% 6.8% 7.2% 5.6% 2.8%
Lucy Meagher 7.0% 7.4% 8.0% 6.5% 7.7% 5.9% 8.5% 7.7% 9.7% 8.2% 8.3% 7.4% 4.7% 3.0%
Cordelia Burn 10.5% 10.3% 8.1% 9.7% 9.3% 8.9% 7.7% 7.6% 8.0% 6.6% 5.8% 3.6% 2.7% 1.2%
Brielle Willoughby 9.0% 11.1% 8.2% 10.2% 8.9% 8.1% 9.4% 6.8% 7.6% 6.5% 5.9% 4.5% 2.8% 1.0%
Carmen Cowles 11.4% 12.7% 11.6% 11.6% 11.3% 7.6% 7.3% 7.2% 6.8% 4.6% 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.8%
Kyra Phelan 3.4% 4.1% 3.1% 3.8% 4.5% 5.0% 5.9% 5.7% 8.4% 8.1% 9.9% 10.3% 13.0% 14.8%
Eva Ermlich 7.3% 8.0% 6.4% 6.6% 8.1% 7.5% 7.3% 8.2% 8.0% 7.8% 7.7% 7.8% 6.0% 3.3%
Kytalin Hendrickson 6.0% 4.8% 7.0% 5.5% 6.5% 6.6% 6.1% 7.8% 6.8% 8.4% 8.2% 10.3% 8.4% 7.6%
Emily Bornarth 9.6% 8.5% 8.5% 10.3% 8.5% 9.7% 8.9% 8.3% 7.6% 7.8% 5.5% 2.7% 2.9% 1.2%
Caroline Sibilly 13.8% 11.9% 13.7% 10.9% 9.2% 10.7% 7.4% 6.6% 4.7% 5.2% 2.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Tiare Sierra 3.5% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 5.0% 4.8% 6.7% 5.3% 6.4% 7.9% 10.4% 11.7% 13.0% 14.7%
Haley Andreasen 2.8% 2.8% 3.5% 3.1% 3.8% 5.2% 4.9% 5.4% 6.2% 7.8% 10.9% 12.3% 14.6% 16.7%
Taylor Eastman 6.9% 6.9% 7.6% 6.1% 7.4% 9.3% 6.3% 9.4% 7.5% 8.1% 7.5% 7.7% 6.3% 3.0%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.0% 2.2% 2.7% 1.8% 2.4% 3.6% 4.8% 5.8% 4.1% 6.1% 6.6% 10.3% 18.1% 29.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.