Race 7A

women-new-england-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Caroline Sibilly 15.8% 14.3% 12.8% 10.1% 10.7% 8.2% 7.6% 5.9% 4.9% 3.8% 2.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Carmen Cowles 15.3% 14.3% 12.3% 11.2% 9.6% 8.0% 8.5% 6.4% 4.1% 4.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Cordelia Burn 10.5% 10.3% 11.8% 8.1% 8.7% 9.5% 9.1% 7.4% 8.4% 6.8% 4.2% 2.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Brooke Schmelz 6.8% 8.1% 7.6% 8.2% 8.4% 8.5% 7.4% 7.6% 8.4% 6.3% 7.5% 6.7% 4.6% 3.0% 0.9%
Emily Bornarth 10.6% 10.1% 8.6% 8.3% 10.2% 9.4% 9.3% 7.6% 7.4% 5.1% 5.2% 3.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Charlotte Costikyan 4.2% 5.5% 5.3% 5.4% 5.0% 6.6% 6.9% 7.2% 9.5% 9.9% 7.8% 9.4% 8.0% 6.8% 2.5%
Kyra Phelan 4.8% 4.6% 3.7% 3.8% 5.2% 4.8% 5.6% 7.5% 7.1% 9.6% 9.1% 9.3% 9.8% 10.1% 5.0%
Tiare Sierra 3.9% 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 5.1% 5.8% 5.2% 6.4% 6.2% 8.0% 8.8% 11.2% 11.3% 11.3% 4.9%
Lucy Meagher 6.0% 6.4% 6.4% 9.5% 8.1% 8.3% 7.6% 9.1% 8.7% 6.6% 8.6% 6.7% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
Samantha Jensen 2.3% 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 2.9% 5.4% 3.6% 4.8% 5.8% 6.3% 7.2% 10.4% 13.5% 16.7% 13.8%
Taylor Eastman 6.2% 7.6% 7.2% 8.8% 7.9% 6.5% 7.9% 7.1% 6.8% 8.3% 6.6% 7.6% 6.6% 3.2% 1.7%
Eva Ermlich 5.8% 4.4% 8.0% 8.8% 6.5% 7.5% 7.8% 8.8% 7.4% 7.5% 9.5% 6.8% 6.1% 4.2% 0.9%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 1.9% 2.4% 2.3% 3.7% 3.3% 5.3% 7.2% 16.3% 51.4%
Kytalin Hendrickson 5.4% 5.3% 6.1% 7.1% 6.8% 6.2% 7.7% 7.9% 7.8% 7.7% 9.3% 8.7% 7.0% 5.0% 2.0%
Izzy Wu-Karr 1.8% 3.2% 2.6% 2.3% 3.7% 3.6% 3.9% 3.9% 5.2% 6.1% 7.4% 8.9% 13.7% 18.2% 15.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.