Race 9A

women-new-england-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Brooke Schmelz 8.6% 5.9% 9.0% 6.9% 6.9% 7.1% 9.1% 7.8% 7.6% 7.3% 7.7% 6.5% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5%
Carmen Cowles 12.6% 15.4% 11.0% 10.8% 10.7% 9.0% 6.6% 7.1% 5.0% 4.2% 3.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Brielle Willoughby 9.6% 10.3% 10.9% 8.5% 8.7% 9.2% 7.7% 8.9% 7.1% 7.3% 4.2% 3.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Emily Bornarth 10.6% 9.5% 9.5% 9.5% 8.3% 7.9% 9.0% 7.2% 8.5% 6.4% 5.3% 3.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4%
Caroline Sibilly 14.7% 13.1% 9.5% 11.1% 10.5% 9.5% 8.5% 7.0% 4.1% 4.7% 3.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Lucy Meagher 5.6% 7.4% 6.6% 6.1% 8.6% 5.6% 8.9% 9.4% 9.2% 7.8% 7.9% 6.6% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1%
Taylor Eastman 7.1% 7.0% 5.7% 7.4% 6.9% 9.2% 8.2% 7.8% 7.6% 7.9% 7.9% 6.5% 5.8% 4.1% 0.9%
Eva Ermlich 6.5% 6.0% 8.2% 7.2% 6.5% 7.0% 7.3% 7.2% 7.1% 10.0% 7.9% 7.9% 5.6% 4.3% 1.3%
Kyra Phelan 3.1% 3.4% 4.3% 4.5% 3.9% 6.9% 5.8% 5.8% 7.9% 9.0% 9.7% 10.4% 11.5% 9.5% 4.3%
Cordelia Burn 9.5% 8.3% 10.4% 9.8% 9.3% 9.7% 7.5% 8.0% 7.3% 6.5% 4.4% 4.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Tiare Sierra 3.4% 3.5% 3.5% 5.7% 5.0% 3.7% 6.2% 5.5% 7.9% 7.2% 7.9% 10.2% 13.0% 9.4% 7.9%
Kytalin Hendrickson 3.8% 4.8% 5.7% 6.1% 6.4% 6.2% 6.6% 7.0% 7.9% 8.6% 11.0% 9.3% 8.0% 6.9% 1.7%
Samantha Jensen 2.1% 2.5% 2.1% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.9% 4.8% 4.2% 5.7% 8.4% 9.6% 14.4% 17.7% 15.5%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 3.1% 3.2% 4.2% 4.5% 5.8% 5.0% 6.8% 10.8% 12.1% 20.0% 15.5%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 2.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 2.4% 3.9% 6.0% 7.1% 17.3% 49.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.