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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+7.41vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+2.16vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.26+7.23vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+5.34vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17+2.30vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07+6.45vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.19-1.33vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84+0.49vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.01+2.99vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.31-0.23vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.99+1.13vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.40vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-1.53vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.66vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.69-5.90vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.86-6.71vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.36-6.89vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College1.45-7.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Cornell University1.796.6%1st Place
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4.16Yale University2.4219.1%1st Place
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10.23College of Charleston1.263.5%1st Place
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9.34Tulane University1.735.1%1st Place
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7.3Harvard University2.178.8%1st Place
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12.45George Washington University1.072.6%1st Place
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5.67Stanford University2.1911.5%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College1.845.8%1st Place
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11.99Tufts University1.012.6%1st Place
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9.77Roger Williams University1.314.5%1st Place
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12.13University of South Florida0.991.8%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.9%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University1.182.9%1st Place
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12.34University of Pennsylvania1.162.4%1st Place
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9.1Brown University1.695.3%1st Place
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9.29Georgetown University1.864.9%1st Place
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10.11Boston College1.363.4%1st Place
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10.12Dartmouth College1.453.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.1% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 16.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% |
| Kalea Woodard | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 15.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Olivia Drulard | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.