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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+5.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+3.56vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+2.02vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.01vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.93+0.70vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.25vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-3.39vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.30-0.69vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-3.01vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-2.14vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53-4.07vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.76-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.56Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.02Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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3.61Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.99Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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10.69University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 23.5% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 6.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 10.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 4.1% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 13.8% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.