Race 6B

women-new-england-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Katharine Doble 11.3% 11.1% 10.6% 9.6% 9.7% 8.8% 10.4% 7.5% 6.9% 5.9% 3.3% 2.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.7%
Sarah Young 12.8% 15.1% 13.6% 10.9% 10.0% 11.0% 7.5% 6.9% 4.3% 3.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Tavia Smith 5.7% 4.0% 5.3% 7.4% 6.3% 7.3% 7.3% 9.0% 8.6% 10.0% 8.6% 9.0% 6.0% 3.3% 2.2%
Michaela O'Brien 20.3% 19.2% 12.5% 12.1% 9.9% 8.9% 6.8% 4.5% 2.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucy Paskoff 2.5% 2.3% 2.5% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 5.1% 6.0% 6.3% 6.3% 7.5% 9.9% 12.6% 14.3% 14.9%
Caitlin Derby 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 2.7% 3.1% 3.4% 3.0% 5.0% 5.3% 6.9% 8.3% 10.4% 12.9% 15.3% 17.8%
Zoey Ziskind 14.3% 12.8% 12.8% 12.1% 11.7% 9.8% 6.7% 6.7% 4.7% 3.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Julia Conneely 5.8% 5.5% 5.9% 6.3% 7.6% 6.4% 8.0% 8.5% 10.4% 8.1% 8.0% 8.8% 5.1% 3.5% 2.1%
Emma Wang 2.4% 2.3% 2.9% 3.7% 4.1% 5.0% 7.3% 5.9% 8.4% 9.9% 9.6% 10.1% 11.4% 10.3% 6.7%
Lauren Russler 7.9% 8.4% 10.3% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% 9.3% 8.9% 6.5% 5.7% 7.2% 2.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Ximena Escobar 5.9% 7.8% 6.7% 7.8% 8.3% 7.6% 8.3% 8.2% 10.0% 8.7% 7.1% 5.1% 4.8% 2.0% 1.7%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.6% 3.8% 6.9% 5.5% 7.0% 6.3% 7.3% 8.0% 8.8% 9.5% 10.9% 8.1% 6.6% 5.5% 2.2%
Katie Coughlin 1.8% 1.7% 3.5% 2.3% 3.9% 3.9% 4.6% 4.4% 5.9% 6.5% 8.7% 10.9% 11.8% 14.3% 15.8%
Maisie MacGillivray 2.5% 1.8% 2.9% 4.6% 2.7% 5.1% 4.6% 7.4% 6.5% 7.5% 8.7% 9.9% 11.3% 14.3% 10.2%
Lilly Saffer 1.1% 2.3% 1.7% 2.8% 2.4% 2.2% 3.8% 3.1% 5.2% 5.7% 6.6% 9.7% 12.5% 15.5% 25.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.