← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+6.79vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.55+2.89vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.29+2.69vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.52+4.19vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont0.57+6.13vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.91-1.99vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.50+1.28vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+1.98vs Predicted
-
9Yale University1.79-1.70vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.62-2.00vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.56-5.93vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.13-5.56vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.36-1.16vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.75-3.31vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.72-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
-
4.89Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
5.69Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
8.19Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
11.13University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
4.01Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
-
8.28Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
7.3Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
-
8.0Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
5.07Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.44Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
11.84Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
10.69University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
-
10.69Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Conneely | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Young | 12.6% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 20.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 18.5% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Emma Wang | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
| Ximena Escobar | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 30.1% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 13.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.