← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.29+4.68vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.62+5.64vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.50+5.19vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.55+0.97vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.56+0.03vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+1.90vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.91-2.93vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.52+0.19vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.13-2.85vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-0.01vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island0.75-0.27vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.72-0.95vs Predicted
-
13Yale University1.79-5.41vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.57-2.85vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.36-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.68Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
7.64Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
-
8.19Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
-
4.97Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
5.03Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
7.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
4.07Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
-
8.19Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
6.15Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
9.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
10.73University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
-
11.05Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
7.59Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
-
11.15University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
11.68Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 10.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Young | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.0% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 19.0% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Wang | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 15.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 17.6% |
| Ximena Escobar | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 17.3% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.