← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.55+3.81vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.29+3.44vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+4.68vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College1.51+4.12vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.56-0.11vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.62+1.73vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.50+1.06vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.91-4.06vs Predicted
-
9Yale University1.79-1.91vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.57+1.12vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.52-2.90vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.72-1.13vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-2.98vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.75-3.43vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.36-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.81Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
5.44Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
-
8.12Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
-
4.89Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
7.73Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.06Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
3.94Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
-
7.09Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
-
11.12University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
8.1Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
10.87Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
10.57University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
-
11.56Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 14.6% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 20.0% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Escobar | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 20.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 15.7% |
| Emma Wang | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% |
| Katie Coughlin | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.