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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+4.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+1.67vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.01vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.93+0.70vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30+1.48vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82-1.12vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.53-1.38vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-3.00vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-2.12vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-5.84vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.76-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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3.67Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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6.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.88Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.0Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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5.16Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.68University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 21.2% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 5.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 6.6% |
| Sky Adams | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 9.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.