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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.58+3.20vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.53+2.34vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+6.74vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.19+1.33vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.68+2.85vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.99+2.93vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.39-2.15vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.57-3.82vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.78-0.86vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.50+0.48vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.83-2.65vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.18+0.28vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.36-3.05vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-3.05+0.15vs Predicted
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15Amherst College-2.69-1.39vs Predicted
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16Williams College-1.22-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2University of Vermont0.580.2%1st Place
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4.34Dartmouth College0.530.2%1st Place
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9.74University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
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7.85University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Connecticut-0.990.0%1st Place
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4.85University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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4.18Brown University0.570.2%1st Place
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8.14University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.48Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.180.0%1st Place
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9.95University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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14.15Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
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13.61Amherst College-2.690.0%1st Place
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9.63Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Amelotte | 15.8% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 17.1% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| William Denker | 9.6% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Lacoche | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Bullock | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| James Sullivan | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Brighton | 17.2% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Robin Potter | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| Nicholas David | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Graham | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 14.5% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 21.0% | 44.2% |
| Rufus Fender-Reid | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 13.5% | 25.4% | 30.5% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.