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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.58+3.20vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.53+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.36+6.09vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.83+3.43vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.57-1.66vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.19-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.06vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.68-1.20vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.99-1.05vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.33vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.50-1.57vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-3.05+1.19vs Predicted
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14Williams College-1.22-4.54vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.18-2.56vs Predicted
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16Amherst College-2.69-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2University of Vermont0.580.2%1st Place
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4.36Dartmouth College0.530.1%1st Place
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4.69University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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10.09University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.34Brown University0.570.2%1st Place
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5.3University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
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8.06University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.8University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Connecticut-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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10.43Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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14.19Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
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9.46Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.180.0%1st Place
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13.6Amherst College-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Amelotte | 16.5% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 14.9% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 14.3% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas David | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Quinn Brighton | 15.2% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Denker | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jake Lacoche | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Bullock | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Robin Potter | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 19.5% | 46.0% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 17.6% | 21.5% | 13.1% |
| Rufus Fender-Reid | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 26.0% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.