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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.39+3.70vs Predicted
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2Williams College-1.22+7.45vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.19+2.24vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.53+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+4.78vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.36+4.11vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.83+1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.58-3.80vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.99-0.18vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.57-5.69vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-3.05+3.04vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.50-1.59vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.18-0.72vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.78-5.84vs Predicted
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15Amherst College-2.69-1.47vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.68-7.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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9.45Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
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4.46Dartmouth College0.530.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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10.11University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Vermont0.580.2%1st Place
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8.82University of Connecticut-0.990.0%1st Place
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4.31Brown University0.570.2%1st Place
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14.04Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
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10.41Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.180.0%1st Place
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8.16University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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13.53Amherst College-2.690.0%1st Place
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8.01University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| William Denker | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 14.7% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas David | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 16.4% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Bullock | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Quinn Brighton | 15.5% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 18.4% | 47.3% |
| Robin Potter | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 12.6% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Rufus Fender-Reid | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 24.6% | 29.0% |
| Jake Lacoche | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.