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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.97+1.28vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37-0.13vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University0.91+0.78vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University0.29-0.27vs Predicted
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6George Washington University-0.12-0.70vs Predicted
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7George Washington University-0.12-1.70vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University0.29-3.27vs Predicted
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9American University-1.97-0.21vs Predicted
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10American University-1.49-2.18vs Predicted
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11American University-1.20-3.76vs Predicted
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12Catholic University of America-1.56-3.85vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University-1.10-5.91vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-2.14-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Georgetown University1.970.3%1st Place
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1.87Georgetown University2.370.5%1st Place
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3.78Georgetown University0.910.1%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University0.290.0%1st Place
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5.3George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.3George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University0.290.0%1st Place
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8.79American University-1.970.0%1st Place
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7.82American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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7.24American University-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.15Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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7.09Georgetown University-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.96Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Smith | 29.4% | 33.3% | 22.4% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 46.3% | 30.6% | 15.6% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Shea | 9.6% | 13.5% | 22.7% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelia DeRose | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Wieting | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Wieting | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelia DeRose | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 21.4% | 27.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Clauson | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 20.3% | 31.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.