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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.93+4.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+1.69vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+2.03vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.97+1.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.21vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74+0.23vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.53-0.37vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-0.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.30-1.70vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.10vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-5.86vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.76-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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3.69Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.03Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.83Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.14Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.7University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Kaull | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 20.3% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 13.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 6.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 2.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 10.8% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 5.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Sky Adams | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 14.7% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.