← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.37+0.92vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.97+0.29vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University0.29+1.73vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University-1.10+3.34vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University0.91-2.38vs Predicted
-
7American University-1.49+0.95vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University-0.12-2.79vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University-0.12-3.79vs Predicted
-
10American University-1.20-2.79vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University0.29-6.27vs Predicted
-
12American University-1.97-3.19vs Predicted
-
13Catholic University of America-2.14-4.03vs Predicted
-
14Catholic University of America-1.56-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.92Georgetown University2.370.4%1st Place
-
2.29Georgetown University1.970.3%1st Place
-
4.73Georgetown University0.290.1%1st Place
-
7.34Georgetown University-1.100.0%1st Place
-
3.62Georgetown University0.910.1%1st Place
-
7.95American University-1.490.0%1st Place
-
5.21George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
-
5.21George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
-
7.21American University-1.200.0%1st Place
-
4.73Georgetown University0.290.1%1st Place
-
8.81American University-1.970.0%1st Place
-
8.97Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
-
7.92Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 42.3% | 32.7% | 17.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Smith | 30.9% | 31.4% | 22.8% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelia DeRose | 5.7% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Clauson | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Shea | 10.6% | 16.1% | 23.1% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Wieting | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Wieting | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelia DeRose | 5.7% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 21.1% | 27.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 34.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.