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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.97+1.33vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37-0.11vs Predicted
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3George Washington University-0.12+2.45vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University0.91-0.28vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University0.29-0.40vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University0.29-2.40vs Predicted
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8American University-1.20-0.57vs Predicted
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9American University-1.49-1.22vs Predicted
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10George Washington University-0.12-4.55vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University-1.10-3.91vs Predicted
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12American University-1.97-3.17vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America-1.56-5.03vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-2.14-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Georgetown University1.970.3%1st Place
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1.89Georgetown University2.370.4%1st Place
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5.45George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
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3.72Georgetown University0.910.1%1st Place
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4.6Georgetown University0.290.1%1st Place
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4.6Georgetown University0.290.1%1st Place
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7.43American University-1.200.0%1st Place
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7.78American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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5.45George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.09Georgetown University-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.83American University-1.970.0%1st Place
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7.97Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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8.91Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Smith | 28.5% | 33.0% | 22.7% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 44.3% | 33.3% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Wieting | 4.3% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Shea | 9.6% | 13.6% | 23.6% | 22.7% | 17.0% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelia DeRose | 6.3% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelia DeRose | 6.3% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 0.8% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Wieting | 4.3% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Clauson | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 30.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 20.8% | 31.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.